Mobile commerce transactions and NFC (Near Field Communication) in particular can potentially redefine what we mean by 'disruptive innovations'. It is interesting enough to watch the behaviours of people reacting to their phones ringing as they pass through airport scanners; how will they perform when it rings while transacting with PayPass or PayWave at the petrol pump?
The payments industry can get pretty excited when we see an opportunity to tackle cash head-on, grab a larger piece of the transaction pie or cross over into other data streams. It is hard to dispute, that the NFC debate has seen many join the "jet stream" generating a strong momentum with media and industry forum announcements - some great, some good and some questionable.
Establishing some realities
Consumer adoption rates
As industry pundits, we can forget the real Customer even though we are also one of them. How much change can consumers absorb and over what time span? If we consider that the first coin emerged from Asia Minor in 640BC, and it was another one thousand four hundred and forty six years for paper notes to arrive in China (806AD). Yet, fast forward to the last sixty years and we added cards, magnetic stripe, POS, ATM’s and started chip cards.
Condense the focus further to the last 10 years and we ramp up full Chip & PIN deployments, expanded the use of PIN, overlayed contactless payments (again removing the need for PIN under certain limits and the signature) – and today we shift away from cash and cards with the attention on mobile devices!
Despite solutions of 2,500 years still in use and consumers getting to grips with the new use of plastic, Mobile and importantly increased online connectivity of many devices has a real and significant role to play in our immediate futures.
Expectations of mobile
The reality of the mobile is an all in one device for so many of our daily needs. It delivers Communications, records images or voice, our favourite music clips, the news online, games, ability to send that urgent email response and a multiplicity of other applications on offer.
To facilitate the great things the mobile empowers us to do anywhere, anytime the Mobile Network Operators provide us various modes of connectivity. The handset manufacturers also do their bit with the addition of Wifi, Bluetooth, InfraRed and NFC capabilities. It is this last set of capabilities that provide a local connection on a one to one or group basis. Note NFC’s companions in communication.
It is now I should remind you of the famous and relevant Gartner Hype Cycle – you best get the climbing gear out, as it is a long way to reach the ‘peak of inflated expectations’.
It is not just about NFC
NFC is by its nature a local interaction between two devices, requiring a physical interaction be it with another NFC phone, enabled posters or retail devices. The power of existing and ubiquitous devices in many markets (smartphones, tablets, etc…) has enabled service offerings that also support remote transactional activity as well as in-store bricks & mortar environments, something that NFC can only be a part of by perhaps scanning a poster or as part of a strong authentication technique.
I steer you towards looking up Tesco’s foray into South Korea, Ocado’s mirror proposition in the UK, Woolworth’s Supermarket in Australia, Macy’s in the US and one of my favourites Patrizia Pepe in Italy. Did I mention cameras on phones and the ability to scan barcodes being ubiquitous today?
The statistics would have it
Gartner has indicated that m-payments for 2011 will be $86billion up 176% on 2010. Ernst & Young indicate that m-payments will reach $245billion by 2014. However, there are many and varied definitions of m-payments – so what is everyone actually measuring?
More relevant is the dominance of the hand held device as smartphone sales now outstrip PCs as at Q4, 2010 according to IDC (100.9million smartphones against 92.1million PC’s). Facebook indicates that 50% of its users interact on a mobile device and are twice as active as those of us on laptops. (As an inactive user, this statistic must hold up).
The telling statistics are those indicating the rise and rise of online retailing or remote shopping. Frost & Sullivan indicates that Australia has had a 13% increase in online retailing and the UK surpassed 10.7% of total sales as online. They are tipped to exceed 12% very soon.
Back to NFC for now…
Many markets have high adoption of smartphones, however few of these are actually NFC enabled. This adds a layer of inertia as consumers upgrade phones on the rollover of their one or two year phone contracts. Juniper is holding out that NFC phone penetration will hit 700 million devices by 2013.
The great news is that a NFC device is not just about emulating an existing card offering eg MasterCard PayPass, Oyster or your Frequent Flyer card. It is able to also act as a reader of contactless cards. Bankcard issuers will have to maintain the old fashioned plastic card for sometime in parallel to any mobile offering to maintain utility for consumers and merchants. So, could NFC be a new way to authenticate cardholders by presenting their plastic card to their phone in an online session?
NFC utility today
Looking beyond just a ‘simple’ payment at a POS, NFC is being used for a myriad of services in trials and early launches around the world. Consider the hotel room key at the Clarion in Stockholm, turning on your Christmas lights at home as Cambridge did in the UK this year, facilitating your farm store in Austria, saving administration time for home care nurses in the Netherlands and corporate access for the Blackberry carrier. There are many functional ideas for NFC communications; do they all require complex stakeholder groups to bring to market?
To access an overview on the NFC ecosystem, go to www.cardsconsult.com/whitepapers.html and select the NFC presentation.
The Transaction Moment & the Customer
The combination of online connectivity and mobile has changed the way we look at promotion to the Customer and ownership. In the past, a coalition of Customer facing businesses would consider who owns the Customer and look at branding, the token – especially if card based which belongs to the issuer and of course the data of a program.
The mobile now provides a dynamic audible environment that firstly is owned by the Customer – neither a bank nor retailer and in many cases the MNO own the end point device. Customers can now aggregate services that are relevant to them on a single gateway device. Customer ownership boundaries reverts to the content providers own domain through the applet or offering accessed by the Customer at a point in time and at the point of interaction.
Ubiquity – is it required?
Innovations often require a strong ‘call to action’ for a consumer, merchant or business operation to adopt. Often this is linked to the size of the available pool of resource that can access the innovation.
Bluetooth gained traction with the hands-free movement for calls on the go and for the keyboard that I am typing this blog upon. How can NFC based propositions establish such traction? Is accessing online content quickly with the tap on a poster enough? Can the process of card payment emulation on the phone be made simple enough to deliver the speed conveyed in Visa NFC videos on YouTube? Wake the phone, enable the NFC interface if turned off, select the wallet, select the card etc – unless you have staged a preferred card for each transaction!
The Call to Action and the link to NFC need to facilitate a dialogue with the Customer. It should fundamentally shift the retail or media operational experience. Traditional Direct Mail etc is only a monologue. Tap here for product reviews and recommended add-ons, tap here for coupons for discounts or rewards collection, tap here to easily download the latest retail catalogue applet for your phone to shop on the go or tap here to receive your transaction receipt and link to Facebook to like my store!
The industry now has many tools to maintain a fresh proposition look and feel, to drive viral based marketing and to motivate communities of interest around a brand, product or event. Developing the mobility model will require drawing on a key attitude of MBNA Corporation – “Think of Yourself as a Customer”.
Making Mobile with NFC work
Let’s start with realistic expectations of the available supporting infrastructure and the timeline to reach a suitably scaled & engaged community of interest. The Dutch example referenced earlier while closed loop, does provide a basis for expansion.
The NFC ecosystem, noted as a ‘jungle’ at the moment in the referenced presentation above forces the need to collaborate with partners to succeed in deployments. Is it just an MNO, a card bureau, vendor or portal requirement – each will depend on your proposition and position in the ecosystem.
In the context of payments, recognize that the mobile and NFC will be a companion to mainstream open loop plastic cards for sometime to come. Be aware of the dual lifecycle management operations that will beset the organization from Customer care to account management.
Consider the link between bricks & mortar engagement and the prevalence of online (often remote) activity, but not in isolation of your inventory management and distribution strategies if in the retail sector. Remember also that the phone is not the only online and mobile device used by the Customer or staff member.
The add-on! The iPhone is probably large enough for most consumers today. Expecting them to insert it into an additional sleeve to establish a larger NFC pool is not sustainable. Making consumers pay for it is even less so. Have we forgotten the lessons of the late 1990’s, early 2000’s of Amex Blue, Mondex and ANZ First chip cards and their plug in readers and software needs?
And the winner is…?
Mobility and consumers! With the levels of investments being poured into finding problems to fix with NFC that will make all parties a sustainable return – the winning proposition is yet to be defined.
Online connectivity now penetrates many of our daily interactions and will increase as the car, smart home and TV’s all gain online connectivity. NFC in and of itself targets only a segment of the retail payments market, its real value may yet appear outside the payments sphere.
For now I have to take a call and send an SMS … on NFC it is wait and see!